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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones has converted 3.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's converted over the course of the year away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pelicans's subpar 10.6 drained threes per game while playing away from home places 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

The matchup against the San Antonio Spurs is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have shot for the 15th-lowest Field Goal% in the NBA this year (35.1%).

Herbert Jones will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

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