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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 12/13/2023

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has averaged 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.

The matchup against Washington is a favorable one; when the Wizards are playing at home, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (19.4).

The 9th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 11 games has been the Pelicans.

The Pelicans are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Washington Wizards).

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.

The Wizards have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production for all stats.

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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