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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pelicans check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Pelicans.

The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has sunk a terrific 91.9% of his foul shot attempts this season, a significant increase from his 73.1 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Kings are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 11th-least field goal attempts per game in the league since the start of last season (12.7).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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