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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has sunk 55.5% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season when playing away from home.

The Pelicans rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.

The 3rd-speediest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

Playing at home, the Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has converted 3.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's sunk over the course of the season on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 8.9 shot attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a hard matchup.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Minnesota is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage (15th-least in the NBA).

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