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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 44.4% on threes (27th-highest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, making this a strong matchup.

The 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a favorable one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 free throws per game since the start of last season (25th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home since the start of last season has been the Pelicans.

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 8th-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year (the Timberwolves).

While playing at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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