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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 10/25/2023

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in home games, Herbert Jones's three-point efficiency has increased by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 10 games at home.

In contrast to his full-season clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1), Herbert Jones's playing time has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games minutes per game.

The Pelicans have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games as the visting team.

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1)% in [AWAY_ROAD] games, Herbert Jones's effectiveness has surged by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1)% over the last 5 games [AS_A_VISITING_PLAYER].

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one for scoring; when the Grizzlies are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 15th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (42.1%).

The Pelicans have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are away from home, the other team has snagged 11.5 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).

Herbert Jones is expected to suffer a reduction in performance for all stats considering playing away from hom in this matchup.

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