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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 4/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has successfully made 65.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 30.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.

Herbert Jones has tallied 34.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's tallied in all games this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost plays for the Pelicans.

Herbert Jones has sunk 97.2% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 24.4% more than he's made over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).

The matchup against Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Thunder are on the road, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SFs this year (14.3).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.9) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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