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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Portland Trail Blazers

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has converted 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's converted in all games this year on his home court.

Herbert Jones has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The matchup vs. Portland is a positive one for attempts from beyond the arc; when the Trail Blazers are on the road, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 27th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which should decrease opportunities for the Pelicans.

The matchup against Portland may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 0.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are on the road (13th-least in the league).

More Herbert Jones Player Props

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