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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% higher than he's sunk in all games this year at home.

Herbert Jones has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the season.

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a favorable one; they have given up the 29th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs over the last 5 games (22.7).

The Thunder have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Pelicans.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of treys.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home.

While on the road, the Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game this year when the Thunder are on the road (14th-least in the league).

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