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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Dallas Mavericks

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 58.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.5% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while on his home court.

Herbert Jones has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.5 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

On the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Herbert Jones has sunk 3.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (97th percentile).

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.1).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pelicans.

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