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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Herbert Jones Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has made 50.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 18.2% more than he's sunk overall this season while playing on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a favorable one; they have allowed the 3rd-most points per game in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (110.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Herbert Jones has sunk a mere 73.3% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit less than his 82.0 rate last season.

Herbert Jones has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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