Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-179/+137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +139 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.
The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones ranks in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
In regard to 3-pointers, the Pelicans's subpar 10.6 drained threes per game while playing away from home places 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 25.6% on threes (13th-lowest in the league) vs. the Spurs, branding this as a challenging matchup.
Herbert Jones will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases player production across the board.

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