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Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+154/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +154.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Herbert Jones has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games as the road team.

The Pelicans check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have captured 9.8 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Herbert Jones will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually boosts player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Herbert Jones places in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 3.5 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Pelicans's subpar 10.8 converted threes per game places 4th-weakest in the NBA this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have averaged 1.6 3-pointers per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, making this a challenging matchup.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Pelicans.

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