Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-195/+150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -190 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -195.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the New Orleans Pelicans's terrific 38.2% rate of drained threes playing at home settles in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Pelicans.
The Kings have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Herbert Jones should see a rise in efficiency for all stats considering controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has committed 3.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The matchup against Sacramento is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Kings are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 7th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pelicans grade out 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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