Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2023

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 24, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Herbert Jones Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has successfully made 50.2% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year while at home.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home (which can also create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which also create added chances for scoring and assists).
Herbert Jones will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (97th percentile).
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the least treys per game in the NBA this year (1.5).

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