Herbert Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 1:59 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Herbert Jones has played 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Herbert Jones places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).
Herbert Jones will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers player performance for all stats.

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