Herbert Jones Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Herbert Jones

NBA · Player Props

Herbert Jones

F · New Orleans Pelicans

Assists

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 12:08 AM EST

Analysis

Herbert Jones Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 7thbest in in the league with 10.9 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Herbert Jones has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Boston Celtics).
While on their home court, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Herbert Jones will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player production for all stats.

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