Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:54 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.7 rate, Haywood Highsmith's shot attempts from beyond the arc have increased this season to 3.6 per game.
Haywood Highsmith has played a whopping 26.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit more than his 15.9 minutes per game last year.
The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
Haywood Highsmith has successfully made a whopping 90.5% of his foul shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 51.8 rate last season.

Favors Under

Haywood Highsmith has averaged 0.1 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.0 technicals per game last season.
The matchup against Cleveland is a hard one; when the Cavaliers have the home court advantage, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (11.8).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

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