Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:03 AM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Grizzlies are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (4.7).
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith rates in the 16th percentile, totaling a measly 4.2 points per game while at home since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 11.0 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies (saving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Among all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith registers in the 4th percentile for free throws scored away from his home court, putting up just 0.2 per game since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting squad (8th-least in the NBA).