Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 5:11 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Heat check in as the 7th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The Magic have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.
The Magic have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Haywood Highsmith has successfully made an impressive 47.7% of his foul shots this year, significantly higher than his 33.3 mark last year.
The matchup vs. the Magic may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (25th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Haywood Highsmith has posted 4.4 points per game this year, placing him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 22nd percentile.
The matchup vs. the Magic is a hard one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (29.1%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Miami Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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