Haywood Highsmith Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2023

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Haywood Highsmith

NBA · Player Props

Haywood Highsmith

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets · Jan 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Haywood Highsmith Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-103/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Haywood Highsmith has converted a whopping 41.7% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly more than his 33.3 rate last year.
Haywood Highsmith has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 20th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a positive one; away from their home court they have allowed the 8th-most points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (112.1).
Haywood Highsmith will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Haywood Highsmith has made just 21.7% of his 3-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 34.3 rate last season.
When playing on the road, the Nets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team have attempted a measly 25.0 foul shots per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year on their home court (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.

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