Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · San Antonio Spurs

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 11:49 PM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has tallied 0.9 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 14th percentile -- among the league's least-whistled.
The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Harrison Barnes has successfully made 2.3 foul shots per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Harrison Barnes ought to get a boost in production in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

In regard to field goal attempts, the 9th-least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year has been the San Antonio Spurs.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Spurs.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Timberwolves, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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