Harrison Barnes Points - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Harrison Barnes

NBA · Player Props

Harrison Barnes

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 3:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Harrison Barnes Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Harrison Barnes has converted a terrific 50.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 48.2 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Harrison Barnes lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year.
Harrison Barnes has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the league (23rd percentile).
The Kings rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Favors Under

With respect to shooting, the Kings's lackluster 46.3% field goal rate when playing at home measures as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 24.4% on three-pointers (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a difficult matchup.
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.1) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Harrison Barnes has converted a mere 1.9 free throws per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 4.2 rate last year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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