Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 2:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-131/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Grayson Allen rates in the 91st percentile for 3-point prowess at home with a a phenomenal 46.3% rate this year.
Grayson Allen has attempted 7.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Grayson Allen ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game this year.
The Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Suns are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Grayson Allen comes in at the 75th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Phoenix Suns have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 15 games in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on field goal attempts (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, marking this as a hard matchup.
This year, opposing squads have captured 12.5 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) against the Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus chances for offense).
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted just 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the league).

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