Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen slots into the 91st percentile for 3-point efficiency on the road with a an exceptional 45.0% rate this year.
Compared to last season's 27.5 mark, Grayson Allen's playing time has jumped this season to 32.9 minutes per game.
When it comes to scoring, the Suns's excellent 123.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 2nd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The 2nd-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Mavericks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should boost possessions for the Phoenix Suns.

Favors Under

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have totaled 0.8 threes per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with only 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Grayson Allen should experience a decrease in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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