Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2023

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Oct 31, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has made 60.0% of his field goal attempts without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a positive one for three-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league since the start of last season (41.3%).
While on their home court, the San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the NBA to the other team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Grayson Allen lands in the 94th percentile for free-throw effectiveness while playing at home with a an excellent 89.5% rate since the start of last season.
Grayson Allen will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Phoenix Suns's feeble 21.9 foul shots per game while playing away from home rates 6th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. the San Antonio Spurs is a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (10th-least in the NBA).

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