Grayson Allen Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2023

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns · Oct 24, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 1:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from competing against the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The Suns check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 1.8 three-pointers per game (14th-lowest in the league) against the Warriors, making this a difficult matchup.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has captured 10.8 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors (retaining possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).
As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been lousy at getting to the free-throw line at home: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, drawing a lowly 20.9 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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