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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has sunk 2.1 three-pointers per game at home this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for 3-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the 30th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA while playing at home this year.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Away from home, the Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Grayson Allen has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bucks.

The matchup vs. Miami is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year when the Heat are on the road (7th-least in the NBA).

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