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Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

Grayson Allen Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Grayson Allen has converted 2.8 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on his home court.

Grayson Allen has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 7.8% more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing at home.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing on the road, the Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which can also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Grayson Allen will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to improves stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from the field; without the home court advantage, their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (50.5%).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been poor at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling a mere 18.1 free throws per game.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.7).

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