Grayson Allen Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Grayson Allen

NBA · Player Props

Grayson Allen

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 1:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Grayson Allen Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-189/+136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grayson Allen has successfully made 5.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.4 more than he's made over the course of the season while playing at home.
Grayson Allen has been on the court for 33.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.
In regard to three-point shots, the Suns's exceptional 38.1% rate of converted threes with the home court advantage comes in as the most in the NBA over the last 24 games.
The Suns have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Grayson Allen will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 23.9% on 3-pointers (15th-worst in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Bulls have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should reduce plays for the Suns.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
On the road, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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