Grant Williams Steals - Player Prop Bet 12/14/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Steals

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 14, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 1:52 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has played an impressive 29.0 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 24.1 minutes per game last year.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
Grant Williams figures to see a rise in production across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams rates in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Timberwolves).

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