Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Charlotte Hornets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has converted 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost possessions for the Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out 7thbest in in the league away from home with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Grant Williams has converted 97.6% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 25.3% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
In terms of scoring, the Charlotte Hornets's lackluster 106.6 points per game measures as the weakest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing away from home.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have grabbed 11.3 offensive boards per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (preserving possessions that can create added chances for offense).
Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the other team has attempted 27.6 foul shots per game (highest in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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