Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 1:26 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has made an impressive 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.4 rate last year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have snagged 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).
Grant Williams figures to see a rise in performance in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Mavericks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams slots into the 13th percentile for foul-shot effectiveness with a an unimpressive 61.1% rate this year.
Over the last 14 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have attempted 24.3 free throws per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

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