Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 49.9% on field goal attempts (27th-best in the league) against the Spurs, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The 8th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Dallas Mavericks.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to get a boost in plays in this game from facing the quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Spurs).
Over the last 25 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (28th-most in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks grade out 1stworst in in the league on their home court with a mere 7.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have snagged 11.2 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs (preserving possessions that can lead to bonus chances for offense).

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