Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 15, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Hawks is a tough one for 3-pointers; opposing teams have averaged the 4th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (11.9).
The Hawks have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Hawks may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 19.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Hawks are on the road (4th-least in the league).
Grant Williams will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing away from home, the Hawks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has made 37.5% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, -37.6% less than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
As a team, the Boston Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line of late: worst in the league over the last 25 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.