Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has attempted 5.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
The Boston Celtics check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the 76ers is a favorable one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.8 free throws per game this year (26th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (84th percentile).
The matchup against Philadelphia is a hard one for three-pointers; when the 76ers have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have compiled the 12th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.0%).
The 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The 76ers have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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