Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has made 54.2% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 15.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing away from home.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Bucks have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Celtics.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has made 33.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, -11.6% lower than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Grant Williams has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
The matchup against Pat Connaughton is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 4.3 3-point shots per game (4th percentile).
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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