Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Boston Celtics · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has sunk 62.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games on the road, 22.2% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year away from home.
This matchup is a strong one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing clubs have totaled the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (32.5).
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should increase plays for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams has converted 87.2% of his foul shots this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
While on their home court, the Pistons have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pistons may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted just 29.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (2nd-least in the NBA).