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Grant Williams

Grant Williams Points
Player Prop - 1/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Grant Williams has made 37.8% of his treys on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Grant Williams has converted 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season on the road.
  • The Boston Celtics check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to the other team this year (which also lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against the Heat is a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted an enormous 18.2 free throws per game while on his home court this year (most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Grant Williams has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (80th percentile).
  • The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one for three-pointers; playing at home, opposing teams have totaled the 2nd-least threes per game in the league this year (14.0).
  • The Boston Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
  • The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Heat.

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