Grant Williams Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2023

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Boston Celtics

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Jan 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Grant Williams Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Grant Williams has made 41.1% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Grant Williams has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Grant Williams has tallied 29.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Boston Celtics have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Spurs.

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- [AMONG_THE_LEAGUES_MOST_FOUL_PRONE].
The matchup against the Spurs is a hard one for field goals; opposing squads have tallied the least field goals per game in the league this year (45.2).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers player production for all stats.

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