Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Grant Williams

NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to three-point attempts.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.0% on 3-pointers (24th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, designating this as a positive matchup.
The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Dallas Mavericks.
This year, opposing clubs have secured 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Grant Williams should get a boost in efficiency across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams lands in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for missed 3-pointers while on his home court, compiling a whopping 2.7 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Grant Williams comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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