Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Grant Williams

F · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 2:08 AM EST

Analysis

Grant Williams Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Grant Williams comes in at the 88th percentile for 3-point shots scored, totaling 2.3 per game this year.
The Mavericks rank as the most aggressive offense in the NBA on the road this year as it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has captured 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Grant Williams has committed 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 9th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Grant Williams will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance for all stats.