Goga Bitadze Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

NBA · Player Props

Goga Bitadze

C-F · Orlando Magic

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Orlando Magic · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Goga Bitadze Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Goga Bitadze has successfully made 70.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.1% more than he's converted overall this year.
The 7th-quickest tempo road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Warriors).
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been terrific at getting to the foul line: best in the league this year, drawing 27.0 foul shot attempts per game.
The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 4.8 free throws per game (97th percentile).

Favors Under

Goga Bitadze has attempted 0.2 treys per game this year, ranking in the 10th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a difficult one for field goals; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a mere 47.5% of their field goal attempts (3rd percentile).
The Orlando Magic have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to further opportunities for offense).
Goga Bitadze will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.