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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 1/23/2025

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has totaled 31.3 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 34.9 minutes per game this year.

In terms of offense, the Milwaukee Bucks's excellent 125.2 points per game with the home court advantage rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 5 games.

This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a positive matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 2.2 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Bucks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has sunk a lowly 55.2% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly less than his 64.1 mark last season.

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).

More Giannis Antetokounmpo Player Props

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