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Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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In comparison to last season's 11.5 rate, Giannis Antetokounmpo's field goals made have spiked this season to 13.1 per game.Out of all players in the league, Giannis Antetokounmpo slots into the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year.The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shots from the field (best in the league) against the Hornets, resulting in a good matchup.Giannis Antetokounmpo will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise player production across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Relative to last year's 28.5% mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's three-point efficiency has tailed off this year to 12.5%.Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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