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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted 12.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this season while on his home court.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged 1.7 three-pointers per game (26th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, marking this as a good matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Giannis Antetokounmpo will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 28.3% mark, Giannis Antetokounmpo's 3-point prowess has dropped this year to 18.5%.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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