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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 4/24/2023

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 30.7 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 65.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 10.7% more than he's sunk overall this year.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has averaged 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.1%).

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.8 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the NBA).

Giannis Antetokounmpo will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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