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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has made 64.5% of his field goals over the last 10 games, 9.7% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Giannis Antetokounmpo has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a good one; when the 76ers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 22nd-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (16.0).

The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Giannis Antetokounmpo has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.

When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Giannis Antetokounmpo has converted a measly 63.9% of his foul shots this season, significantly lower than his 72.0 rate last season.

As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, averaging a measly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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