Giannis Antetokounmpo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Giannis Antetokounmpo

NBA · Player Props

Giannis Antetokounmpo

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 6:36 PM EST

Analysis

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Nets are the visiting team, their opposition have compiled the 6th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (34.1%).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year.
The Nets have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nets have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; when the Nets are the visiting team, the other team have attempted a monstrous 28.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

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