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Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis Antetokounmpo Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Giannis Antetokounmpo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has scored 30.9 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has successfully made 43.3% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 16.0% higher than he's made in all games this season while at home.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has attempted 13.1 free throws per game this year, a significant increase from his 11.4 mark last year.
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo has tallied 31.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 25.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (8th-least in the NBA).
  • The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for shots from the field; without the home court advantage, their opposition have put up the 2nd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (50.5%).
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Nuggets.
  • As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been poor at drawing fouls in recent days: worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling a mere 18.1 free throws per game.

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